Monday, 23 September 2013

No 'serious person' should doubt man behind climate change, says Tony Blair - Telegraph.co.uk

Debarjun Saha | 14:43 |

"After this panel assessment this week, there will no longer be any serious doubt in the minds of serious people that this is a serious problem," he said, "The question is can we find the means of galvanising the [political] leaderships to act in the way they should?"

"Ninety-five per cent certain, is a pretty large degree of certainty – I recall that the number of people who think Elvis is still alive is round about five per cent," he added, to laughter.

Since leaving office Mr Blair has supported The Climate Group, a non-profit foundation that teams up with big business to tackle climate change issues.

Among the corporate sponsors of the event were the Weather Channel, the insurance major Swiss Re, the LED lighting specialists Phillips, the furniture maker IKEA and the computer giant Hewlett-Packard.

Mr Blair was followed to the lectern by Todd Stern, the US special envoy on climate change and Jim Yong Kim, the World Bank president who was even more vocal in rubbishing climate change sceptics than Mr Blair.

"We have to stop with these silly arguments and move forward on thinking about what we are going to do," Mr Kim said, citing World Bank studies that mapped out the possible consequences of global warming.

"Among the predictions is that by 2030 it's quite possible that Bangkok could be under water," he said, "Now these other explanation, and the people who doubt the existence of man-made climate change, I would simply say, the doubters don't have a problem with climate change, they have a problem with science."

However there are several senior climatologists who have questioned the IPCC explanations for "the pause" in the rise in global surface temperatures, and argued that the kind of 'certainty' spoken by the climate change industry is unhelpful and could damage the credibility of the IPCC report.

The IPCC's credibility is still recovering from the so-called 'Climategate' affair of 2009 in which leaked emails from the University of East Anglia showed how scientists who were more sceptical about man-made climate-change had been deliberately shut out of the peer-review process and denied data.

Prof Judith Curry, a leading climate scientist at the Georgia Institute of Technology in the US , is among the scientists who supported the consensus of the findings fourth IPCC report in 2007, but now says scientists need to admit uncertainty on the issue.

The drive to reach consensus had led to "oversimplifying the problem and its solution and hyper-politicising both, introducing biases into the science and related decision-making processes," she wrote in a recent article for The Australian newspaper.

"Let's abandon the scientific consensus-seeking approach in favour of open debate and discussion of a broad range of policy options that stimulate local and regional solutions to the multifaceted and interrelated issues surrounding climate change."



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